Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.002590 0.002759 0.002940 0.003151 0.003391 0.003657 0.003978
2025-01-26 0.002218 0.002426 0.002662 0.002951 0.003304 0.003726 0.004285
2025-02-02 0.002073 0.002317 0.002604 0.002975 0.003455 0.004075 0.004975
2025-02-09 0.001995 0.002271 0.002608 0.003063 0.003686 0.004552 0.005947
2025-02-16 0.001904 0.002196 0.002563 0.003076 0.003810 0.004897 0.006822
2025-02-23 0.001864 0.002181 0.002588 0.003180 0.004072 0.005495 0.008342
2025-03-02 0.001778 0.002097 0.002515 0.003135 0.004101 0.005720 0.009260
2025-03-09 0.001691 0.002006 0.002424 0.003054 0.004061 0.005813 0.009940
2025-03-16 0.001660 0.001987 0.002430 0.003116 0.004257 0.006379 0.012115
2025-03-23 0.001628 0.001966 0.002430 0.003166 0.004439 0.006967 0.014935
2025-03-30 0.001575 0.001911 0.002378 0.003130 0.004462 0.007226 0.016981
2025-04-06 0.001510 0.001835 0.002291 0.003031 0.004358 0.007173 0.017750
2025-04-13 0.001467 0.001794 0.002257 0.003023 0.004435 0.007606 0.021748
2025-04-20 0.001381 0.001687 0.002120 0.002835 0.004150 0.007081 0.019871
2025-04-27 0.001354 0.001664 0.002109 0.002857 0.004278 0.007658 0.026165
2025-05-04 0.001344 0.001665 0.002132 0.002938 0.004540 0.008719 0.043723
2025-05-11 0.001318 0.001641 0.002116 0.002950 0.004657 0.009422 0.071307
2025-05-18 0.001312 0.001646 0.002146 0.003047 0.004980 0.011047 0.444758
2025-05-25 0.001278 0.001607 0.002103 0.003005 0.004975 0.011443 NaN
2025-06-01 0.001239 0.001560 0.002045 0.002930 0.004881 0.011429 NaN
2025-06-08 0.001228 0.001556 0.002056 0.002987 0.005123 0.013112 NaN
2025-06-15 0.001216 0.001548 0.002061 0.003034 0.005348 0.015028 NaN
2025-06-22 0.001190 0.001518 0.002027 0.003000 0.005353 0.015721 NaN